Shanxi Datong University
Complex equipment often experiences natural wear and external forces, and external forces cause a sudden increase in wear. In engineering practice, many high-reliability, long-lifetime equipment, because it is not easy to obtain a sufficient amount of failure data, it is necessary to use expert experience data to evaluate the equipment"s lifetime distribution and reliability indicators. However, the empirical data of experts is often not an exact constant, but a limited range. In order to deal with the uncertainty caused by human cognition, the uncertainty theory is introduced, and the empirical data of experts is described by uncertain variables. At the same time, the parameters in the distribution function are also uncertain and described by uncertain variables. Using the method of uncertainty theory to calculate the belief reliability of the equipment undergoing dependent competition failure process, and when the parameters are uncertain variables, the belief reliability of the system is higher than that when the parameters are constant, and the microelectronic mechanical system is used as an example to verify the effectiveness of the model.